As the hours ticked by after the pre-order chaos, social media became a hive of speculation. With the transparency report not yet posted, millions of people turned to the only data they had: Month 1's numbers.
Reddit's r/NovaGate had multiple threads dedicated to predictions, each one filled with increasingly elaborate mathematical models.
MONTH 2 PREDICTIONS MEGATHREAD
u/DataDrivenDreamer: "Okay, let's be rational about this. Month 1 had 1,000 devices generating $130M in net revenue. Month 2 had 2,000 devices total (1,000 new). If we assume linear scaling, we're looking at $260M. But..."
u/EconMajorDropout: "Linear scaling is conservative. Network effects matter. More Lucid users = more viewers = more gifting. I'm predicting $350-400M."
u/SkepticalSam: "You're all insane. The top earners in Month 1 were making $5-11M. That's not sustainable. Viewer fatigue will set in. I'm betting $200M max."
